Bitcoin price coils under $65K as US PMI data brings new ‘stagflation’ warning

Bitcoin price action stayed compressed in an ongoing divergence from stocks and gold while US PMI data sparked fresh talk of “stagflation.”

Bitcoin (BTC) stayed motionless at Thursday’s Wall Street open as analysis saw signs of reemergent US “stagflation.”

Data from TradingView showed BTC/USD hovering above $64,000, down around 0.5% on the day, while US stocks opened flat.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Anticipation of a deal between Iran and Oman to reopen the Strait of Hormuz oil route did little to spark volatility — in the absence of US participation, it remained uncertain whether international shipping would fully resume.

“This understanding does not, in itself, mean that the Strait of Hormuz will reopen,” Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said in an interview with the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA), quoted by CNN.

US WTI crude oil was little changed on the day at $76 per barrel, having hit three-week lows of $74.30 the day prior.

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

As markets awaited further geopolitical cues, trading resource The Kobeissi Letter turned to the latest US Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services PMI and employment data. Released on Wednesday, this showed a divergence continuing, with PMI rising 0.1 point in July to 54.1, while employment dropped 3.6 points to 47.4, its lowest reading since March.

“At the same time, the prices paid index surged +2.6 points, to 70.3, near the highest since October 2022. Prices paid have now trended higher for over 2 years, rising +16.9 points since March 2024. In other words, the economy is increasingly under pressure from both rising prices and a weakening labor market,” it reported on X.

Kobeissi added that the odds of stagflation was thus “intensifying” based on the combined PMI readings.

US services PMI data. Source: The Kobeissi Letter on X.com